000  03020cam a2200373 a 4500  

001  ocn175218048  
008  071011s2008 nyua b 001 0 eng  
010  _a 2007042507  
040 
_aDLC _beng _cDLC _dBTCTA _dBAKER _dYDXCP _dUPZ _dIH5 _dBWX _dZJI _dVP@ _dBUR _dCDX _dTSU _dIAY _dNOR _dCQU _dTEX _dOCLCQ _dBDX _dMNM 

019  _a298631360  
020  _a9780375424045  
020  _a0375424040  
029  1 
_aNZ1 _b12068092 

029  1 
_aAU@ _b000042299168 

029  1 
_aDEBBG _bBV023361227 

035 
_a(OCoLC)175218048 _z(OCoLC)298631360 

050  0  0 
_aQA273 _b.M63 2008 
082  0  0 
_a519.2 _222 
049  _aTEXA  
100  1 
_aMlodinow, Leonard, _d1954 

245  1  4 
_aThe Drunkard's walk : _bhow randomness rules our lives / _cLeonard Mlodinow. 
250  _a1st ed.  
260 
_aNew York : _bPantheon Books, _cc2008. 

300 
_axi, 252 p. : _bill. ; _c25 cm. 

504  _aIncludes bibliographical references and index.  
520  _aAn irreverent look at how randomness influences our lives, and how our successes and failures are far more dependent on chance events than we recognize.  
505  0  _aPeering through the eyepiece of randomness : the hidden role of chance : when human beings can be outperformed by a rat  The laws of truths and halftruths : the basic principles of probability and how they are abused : why a good story is often less likely to be true than a flimsy explanation  Finding your way through a space of possibilities : a framework for thinking about random situations : from a gambler in plagueridden Italy to Let's Make a Deal  Tracking the pathways to success : how to count the number of ways in which events can happen, and why it matters : the mathematical meaning of expectation  The dueling laws of large and small numbers : the extent to which probabilities are reflected in the results we observe : Zeno's paradox, the concept of limits, and beating the casino at roulette  False positives and positive fallacies : how to adjust expectations in light of past events or new knowledge : mistakes in conditional probability from medical screening to the O.J. Simpson trial and the prosecutor's fallacy  Measurement and the law of errors : the meaning and lack of meaning in measurements : the bell curve and wine ratings, political polls, grades, and the position of planets  The order in chaos : how large numbers can wash out the disorder of randomness : or why 200,000,000 drivers form a creature of habit  Illusions of patterns and patterns of illusion : why we are often fooled by the regularities in chance events : can a million consecutive zeroes or the success of Wall Street gurus be random?  The drunkard's walk : why chance is a more fundamental conception than causality : Bruce Willis, Bill Gates, and the normal accident theory of life.  
650  0 
_aRandom variables _vPopular works. 

650  0 
_aProbabilities _vPopular works. 

650  0 
_aChance _vPopular works. 

942 
_2lcc _cBOOK 

999 
_c188753 _d193178 